Artículos con la etiqueta ‘Data Analysis Statistics and Probability (’

Kantian fractionalization predicts the conflict propensity of the international system

Por • 8 feb, 2014 • Category: Política

The study of complex social and political phenomena with the perspective and methods of network science has proven fruitful in a variety of areas, including applications in political science and more narrowly the field of international relations. We propose a new line of research in the study of international conflict by showing that the multiplex fractionalization of the international system (which we label Kantian fractionalization) is a powerful predictor of the propensity for violent interstate conflict, a key indicator of the system’s stability. In so doing, we also demonstrate the first use of multislice modularity for community detection in a multiplex network application. Even after controlling for established system-level conflict indicators, we find that Kantian fractionalization contributes more to model fit for violent interstate conflict than previously established measures. Moreover, evaluating the influence of each of the constituent networks shows that joint democracy plays little, if any, role in predicting system stability, thus challenging a major empirical finding of the international relations literature.

Generalized friendship paradox in complex networks

Por • 15 ene, 2014 • Category: sociologia

The friendship paradox states that your friends have on average more friends than you have. Does the paradox “hold'” for other individual characteristics like income or happiness? To address this question, we generalize the friendship paradox for arbitrary node characteristics in complex networks.